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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
Before September
Before October
$81,243 vol
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
John Pardon
Aleksandr Logunov
$221,826 vol
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Oklo
Radiant Industries
$221,052 vol
Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
$5,136 vol
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Before 2040
Before 2035
$90,246 vol
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2035
Before 2030
$127,029 vol
Nobel Prize in Economics 2026
Luigi Zingales
Andreu Mas-Colell
$1,031 vol
Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026
Margaret Atwood
Anne Carson
$911 vol
2026 Nobel Physics winner?
John Preskill
Alexei Kitaev
$12,928 vol
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Before 2035
Before 2030
$72,427 vol
When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
Before 2035
Before 2032
$143,476 vol